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[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com>
Subject: [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Wed, 9 Feb 2005 11:16:43 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
:Issued: 2005 Feb 09 1306 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50209
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Feb 2005, 1303UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Feb 2005 until 11 Feb 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 029
PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 014
PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 121 / AP: 007

COMMENT: Solar activity is quiet, two small C-flare erupted yesterday,
one from each region NOAA 0732 and 0733. We expect more C-flaring
activity. We are still under the influence of the fast wind stream of
the northern coronal hole, now situated in the west. The solar wind
speed is 750 km/s and Bz is oscillating between -10 and 10 nT. This
results in active to unsettled geomagnetic conditions. We expect these
disturbances to continue for another few hours to return to quiet
conditions by tomorrow.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Feb 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : ///
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 108
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 047
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 037

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE


73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Contesting Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
HC-DX Propagation Channel: http://www.hard-core-dx.com/index.php?topic=Propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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