To: | "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report |
From: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> |
Date: | Wed, 9 Feb 2005 11:16:43 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
:Issued: 2005 Feb 09 1306 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #--------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC # # (RWC Belgium) # #--------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50209 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 09 Feb 2005, 1303UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 09 Feb 2005 until 11 Feb 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 09 Feb 2005 10CM FLUX: 112 / AP: 029 PREDICTIONS FOR 10 Feb 2005 10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 014 PREDICTIONS FOR 11 Feb 2005 10CM FLUX: 121 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Solar activity is quiet, two small C-flare erupted yesterday, one from each region NOAA 0732 and 0733. We expect more C-flaring activity. We are still under the influence of the fast wind stream of the northern coronal hole, now situated in the west. The solar wind speed is 750 km/s and Bz is oscillating between -10 and 10 nT. This results in active to unsettled geomagnetic conditions. We expect these disturbances to continue for another few hours to return to quiet conditions by tomorrow. SOLAR INDICES FOR 8 Feb 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 108 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 047 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 037 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73 & GUD DX, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA Grid Square EL87WX Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W kn4lf@arrl.net Contesting Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation HC-DX Propagation Channel: http://www.hard-core-dx.com/index.php?topic=Propagation KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm -- No virus found in this outgoing message. Checked by AVG Anti-Virus. Version: 7.0.300 / Virus Database: 265.8.6 - Release Date: 2/7/2005 _______________________________________________ Propagation mailing list Propagation@contesting.com http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation |
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