[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Feb 15 1340 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50215
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Feb 2005, 1228UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Feb 2005 until 17 Feb 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Active (M-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 119 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 117 / AP: 012

COMMENT: NOAA active region 0733 and 735 has grown significantly in the
last 24 hours. We expect an increased level of flaring activity, with a
reasonable chance for an M-flare. The partial halo CME related to the
C2.7 flare of Feb 13 should possible arrive tomorrow, but even if so,
only minor geomagnetic consequences are expected now.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Feb 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 111
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 118
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 005

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Contesting Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
HC-DX Propagation Channel: 
http://www.hard-core-dx.com/index.php?topic=Propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm



--
No virus found in this outgoing message.
Checked by AVG Anti-Virus.
Version: 7.0.300 / Virus Database: 265.8.8 - Release Date: 2/14/2005

_______________________________________________
Propagation mailing list
Propagation@contesting.com
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation