[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Feb 05 1321 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC     #
# (RWC Belgium)                                                      #
#--------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50205
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 05 Feb 2005, 1307UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 05 Feb 2005 until 07 Feb 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 05 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 087 / AP: 003
PREDICTIONS FOR 06 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 089 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 07 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 007

COMMENT: Returning sunspot group Catania 05/NOAA 0720 is still not
visible on the solar disk, but its loop system is now prominent in EIT
images. The group has already produced several C-class flares, the
largest a C7.1 round midnight. We expect at least C-flares from now on,
with a good chance for M-flares to follow soon.

Geomagnetic conditions are quiet. The solar wind speed is now at 400km/s
and rapidly decreasing. A small equatorial coronal hole may push it back
up later today and tomorrow. Active conditions may be reached.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 4 Feb 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 022
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 082
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 003

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE
END

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
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KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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