[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2005 Feb 01 1236 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 50201
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 01 Feb 2005, 1223UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 01 Feb 2005 until 03 Feb 2005)
SOLAR FLARES  : Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 01 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 010
PREDICTIONS FOR 02 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 088 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 03 Feb 2005  10CM FLUX: 086 / AP: 004

COMMENT: Solar activity has been very low over the past 24 hours. The
only flare since yesterday's forecast was a B2.6 from Catania sunspot
group 16 (NOAA 0729). This group has stopped growing, while the only
other sunspot group on the solar disk (Catania 16, NOAA 0727) is
decaying. There is only a small chance for a C-flare from either of
these two.

Following yesterday's rise in the solar wind speed, geomagnetic activity
briefly reached minor storm conditions round noon UT on Jan 31. By the
end of Jan 31, the solar wind speed started decreasing again and quiet
conditions returned. The earth is now moving out of the influence of the
coronal hole, so we expect solar wind speed to further decline and quiet
geomagnetic conditions.

SOLAR INDICES FOR 31 Jan 2005
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 046
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 086
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : ///
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 022

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

Propagation eReflector: 
http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: 
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm
KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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