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[VHFcontesting] Rover activity in 2010 June ARRL VHF QSO Party

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Subject: [VHFcontesting] Rover activity in 2010 June ARRL VHF QSO Party
From: James Duffey <jamesduffey@comcast.net>
Date: Sun, 18 Jul 2010 21:01:31 -0600
List-post: <vhfcontesting@contesting.com">mailto:vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
The log submission has closed for the 2010 June ARRL VHF QSO Party and claimed 
scores have been posted on the ARRL site. It was a successful contest with 1107 
Cabrillo logs submitted and if previous years are any indication, another 100 
or so paper logs with 10 of them being rovers will be added.  

Overall activity appears to be strong and comparable to previous years, so the 
contest is healthy, if not growing slightly. Widespread sporadic E over much of 
the country during most of the contest kept interest up and people at their 
operating position. The widespread and lengthy Es made roving very effective 
and productive. Good Es activity usually results in lots of logs being 
submitted.

Below are the preliminary 2010 results tabulated with previous years. As I am 
primarily interested in the Rover class, this table only goes back to 1991, the 
year the Rover Category was instituted. The Rover category as a whole appears 
to be healthy, if down a bit from previous years, but when paper logs are 
submitted, the total fraction of rovers will probably be pretty close to 
historic values. The price of fuel was reasonable this year, so that had little 
effect on rover activity.

Year  Entries  Rovers   % total  Notes
2010  1107*     88*      7.9*    *No paper logs
2009  1152     102       8.9             
2008  1074      96       8.9     New Rover categories
2007   860      98      11.3
2006  1047      96       9.2
2005   840      92      11.2
2004   766      91      11.9
2003   818      92      11.2 
2002   672      84      12.5
2001   680      61       9.0
2000   749      62       8.3
1999   701      75      10.7
1998   865      72       8.3
1997   837      74       8.8
1996   923      72       7.8
1995   837      52       6.2     Rules Change
1994   781      68       8.7
1993   818      63       7.7     Rules Change
1992   840      64       7.6
1991   710      50       7.0     Rover class initiated

Below is a table with the breakdown by Rover category since 2008, the first 
year multiple Rover categories were used. Due to ambiguities in the Cabrillo 
tags, I suspect that there are really only 5 Unlimited Rover entries this year 
and that the other four belong in the Limited Rover or Classic Rover classes. 
There are similar ambiguities, although not as many, in the Limited Rover 
entries, but I suspect that will get sorted before the results are finalized. 
If you are a rover, you may want to check your entry in the logs submitted page 
on the ARRL Site and drop KX9X an e-mail with the correct entry class if you 
have different categories in the Category and Type Columns listed on the logs 
submitted page.

Year    Classic Limited  Unlimited Total
2010       37     42        9       88
2009       60     37        5      102
2008       61     26        8       95

The migration of operators from the Classic Rover category jumps out at one 
from this table. It appears that many are going to the Limited Rover category. 
As of now it appears that the Limited Rover entries will outnumber the Classic 
Rover entries for the first time since the categories were introduced. Even if 
all of the remaining logs to be submitted are Classic Rovers, this will still 
be a significant drop in Classic Rover activity.  This cannot be healthy for 
contest microwave activity. I suppose that this migration from Classic Rover to 
Limited Rover is to be expected as a similar migration was seen from Multi to 
Limited Multi years ago. The growth in the Limited Rover category appears to be 
healthy, but it is not due to attracting new operators with 706 class rigs as 
was envisioned when the category was created, but rather appears to be coming 
at the expense of Classic Rovers. So the question remains unanswered, what do 
we do to attract Joe-706 pack to VHF contesting? T
 he Unlimited Rover category continues to languish with only 9 (and perhaps as 
few as 5) entries and, as far as I can tell, only KR0VER/r and N0LP/r used it 
was envisioned when the category was created. Can this category continue 
without more activity or a rules change to encourage more participants?

There were several big, for the category anyway, scores put up in the Limited 
Rover Category. And, with a single exception, these scores were put up by 
Limited Rovers operating alone, without the benefit of coordination with other 
rovers at grid boundaries. K5HN/r put up a score of 92,738 topping the Limited 
Rover category with no apparent coordinated activity with other rovers. 
Ironically, this was for the North Texas Microwave Society.:^)= NO5LA/r, whose 
claimed score does not appear on the ARRL web page with his log submission, but 
who posted a claimed score of 86,339 on the 3830 site, also appeared to operate 
without coordination with other rovers.  Less than 2000 points separate the 
apparent 3rd, 4th, and 5th place finishers in the Limited Rover Category, 
showing that this is indeed a competitive category. Interestingly enough, 
W6YLZ/r may have been handicapped by his participation with the Southern 
California Contest Club coordinated rovers as his claimed score is signi
 ficantly down from his score last year when he roved solo. There appear to be 
8 limited rover scores above 50,000, which, over the past couple of years, 
several on this list declared was impossible without coordinated roving. Well, 
seven of those scores appear to be done with no coordination with other rovers. 
In the past it has also been said on this list that Limited Rovers who did not 
engage in coordinated roving techniques such as pack roving and grid circling 
could not be competitive with those that did partake in those practices, even 
with lots of Es. This year's contest clearly shows that is no longer the case. 
Limiting the bands to the lowest four and the number of QSOs with rovers seems 
to have had its effect in the Limited Rover category. 

The Southern California Contest Club coordinated rovers have the 6 top claimed 
scores in the Classic Rover category and, with two other Southern California 
Contest Club rovers who did not submit claimed scores, appear to have the top 8 
Rover spots nailed down. Coordinated roving is an effective strategy for 
winning the club competition, especially when bolstered by even modest fixed 
station contributed scores from other club members. I wonder though, if the 
domination of the Classic Rover category by the Southern California Contest 
Club pack rovers is driving some Classic Rovers to the Limited Rover category 
to where they perceive that they can be more competitive. 

With the 10 vehicle rover pack from Southern California well ensconced in the 
VHF and UHF contests, and perhaps several more from around the country whose 
similar activities do not rack up such large scores, and probably a similar 
number of captive rovers who do not submit logs, it dawns on me that this 
activity, which I lump under coordinated roving, has reached 15% or 20% of the 
total rover activity in ARRL contests. When one thinks about it, this is a 
relatively large number compared to the total number of rovers. Political 
Scientists, for example, cite this number as what is generally required to 
support significant social change. There are pluses and minuses to this 
activity and many of the pros and cons have been discussed on this list before, 
but the number of rovers who participate in coordinated roving is becoming 
significant and the impact of their activities continues to grow. As an example 
of one impact, It appears to me that one cannot currently win a contest com
 petition in the medium category without at least a modest contribution from 
coordinated roving.

When one ponders it, having ten-10 band stations that can be deployed at 75 mph 
essentially anywhere within a 175 mile circle in any of several categories, not 
just the rover categories, is a powerful tool. Those stations will have a 
significant impact in a contest, even if their use is restricted in the Rover 
categories.

Some thoughts. I will update this assessment when the results are final. - 
Duffey
--
James Duffey KK6MC
DM65tc
Cedar Crest NM






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