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Re: [VHFcontesting] Updated - Rover activity and otherwise in June ARRL

To: "James Duffey" <jamesduffey@comcast.net>, "VHF Contesting Reflector" <vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
Subject: Re: [VHFcontesting] Updated - Rover activity and otherwise in June ARRL VHF
From: "Nate Duehr" <nate@natetech.com>
Date: Thu, 03 Dec 2009 15:49:05 -0700
List-post: <vhfcontesting@contesting.com">mailto:vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
We finally broke the 2-rovers-per-State average.

In 1997 there were 722,330 licensed operators in the U.S. (cited
properly at Wikipedia, feel free to update with newer number, it won't
matter for this point...)

More to the point, we've only "grown the ranks" of rovers who bother to
submit logs by 10 people since 2003.  

10 people.  Seriously.

We could make it sound better by saying we've had "approximately 10%
growth", like Wall Street does... 

Or we could go all the way back to 1991 and say we've had "100% growth
since inception!"  I like that one better! 

Now we're starting to sound like my 401K's management company's
marketing wonks now, boy... whoooee!  Look at that!  

I love statistics.  

Next up... the 10 year moving average line! :-) :-) ;-)  (No I'm not
actually going to post that, but I bet SOME ham Excel geek goes and
dumps that table below into Excel and looks at it... heh heh.)

--
  Nate Duehr, WY0X
  nate@natetech.com

On Sun, 29 Nov 2009 10:46 -0700, "James Duffey"
<jamesduffey@comcast.net> wrote:
> Shortly after the initial posting of claimed scores for the June 2009 VHF
> Contest, I did a brief analysis on the Rover activity in the June Contest
> and posted it to the list. Now that the final results are out, I thought
> I would revise the post with the latest numbers.
> 
> Here is the chart of activity in the June VHF QSO Party since the
> inception of the Rover class in 1991:
> 
> Year  Entries Rovers % total Notes
> 
> 2009  1152    102     8.9              
> 2008  1074     96     8.9    3 rover classes
> 2007   860     98    11.3
> 2006  1047     96     9.2
> 2005   840     92    11.2
> 2004   766     91    11.9
> 2003   818     92    11.2
> 2002   672     84    12.5
> 2001   680     61     9.0
> 2000   749     62     8.3
> 1999   701     75    10.7
> 1998   865     72     8.3
> 1997   837     74     8.8
> 1996   923     72     7.8
> 1995   837     52     6.2    Current scoring implemented
> 1994   781     68     8.7
> 1993   818     63     7.7    Rules change due to grid circling
> 1992   840     64     7.6
> 1991   710     50     7.0    Rover class begun
> 
> I hope that the table formatting held up. It is best viewed with a
> monospaced typeface like Courier.
>  
> Rich, K1TEO has also posted a nice summary on the Rover activity in the
> June 2009 contest on the Web Report:
> 
> <
> http://www.arrl.org/members-only/contests/results/2009/jun-vhf/sidebar1.html
> >
> 
> The 2009 June VHF contest and roving activity is at a high not seen for
> many years and this is good. It shows that the VHF contesting community
> is growing, or at least holding its own. Some of the increased activity
> may be due to the popularity of the Fred Fish Memorial Award as well. The
> presence of modest, but not pervasive Sporadic E also helped activity. 
> 
> This was the second June Contest with the new roving categories and the
> results are interesting:
> 
> 
> Year    Classic Limited  Unlimited Total
> 
> 2009       60     37        5      102
> 
> 2008       61     26        8       95
> 
> The growth in rover activity from 2008 to 2009 came entirely in the
> Limited Rover category, which saw a growth of 40%! While it is nice to
> see this kind of growth in rover activity, it is probably not good in the
> long run for those who operate microwave bands in the contest as the
> Classic Rover category stayed stagnant. The sample is small and the new
> categories have only been in use two years, so it is probably not prudent
> to draw too many conclusions from these numbers. Still, the unlimited
> category does not seem to have caught on. There was no major group of
> pack rovers in the June contest either. 
> 
> I have started to look at the effect on 222 MHz activity due to the
> Limited Rover rules change this year. More on that later. - Duffey
> --
> KK6MC
> James Duffey
> Cedar Crest NM
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