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[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on

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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Mon, 26 Oct 2015 20:07:05 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2015 Oct 26 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity reached low levels this period. Region 2437 (S22W26, Bxo/beta) produced a C2/Sf flare at 26/1029 UTC which was the largest event of the period. Region 2436 (N10W40, Esi/beta) underwent minor decay this period while the remaining three active regions on the visible disk were stable. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low over the next three days (26-28 Oct) with a slight chance for M-class flares (R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate) Radio Blackouts).

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels over the next three days (26-28 Oct) and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters reflected a nominal solar wind regime. Solar wind speed was steady between 400-500 km/s, IMF total field strength values reached 11 nT, and Bz was predominately northward throughout the period. The phi angle remained steady in a positive (away) solar sector orientation.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to remain near background levels throughout the forecast period (26-28 Oct).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels throughout the period.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on days one and two (26-27 Oct) with quiet to unsettled conditions expected by day three (28 Oct).

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2015 Oct 26 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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