:Issued: 2004 Oct 15 1228 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41015
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 15 Oct 2004, 1222UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 15 Oct 2004 until 17 Oct 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 093 / AP: 008
PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 17 Oct 2004 10CM FLUX: 096 / AP: 009
COMMENT: Flaring activity is low, the only active region which has the
possibility for C-flares is sunspot group 39 (NOAA 0682). Solar wind speed is
declining, we are definitely leaving the influence sphere of the coronal hole.
We are experiencing quiet geomagnetic conditions.
SOLAR INDICES FOR 14 Oct 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX : 032
10CM SOLAR FLUX : 091
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 038
AK WINGST : ///
ESTIMATED AP : 028
NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA
NOTE
NONE
END
BT
73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net
Propagation eGroup: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation
KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive:
http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm
KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com
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