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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2022 Nov 28 1230 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Mon, 28 Nov 2022 20:07:09 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2022 Nov 28 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. The four numbered regions on the visible solar disk were all relatively stable and quiet. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed by available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for C-flares over 28-30 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 2,400 pfu observed at 27/1730 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected reach high levels on 28-30 Nov and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: The solar wind environment reflected continued positive polarity CH HSS influences. Solar wind speeds gradually increased over the course of the period from ~410 km/s to ~600 km/s. Total field also gradually increased from 6 nT to an average of 9-10 nT. The Bz component underwent a few prolonged, southward deflections reaching -10 nT. Phi was predominantly positive.

Forecast: An enhanced solar wind environment is expected to prevail over 28-30 Nov due to the influences of multiple positive polarity CH HSSs.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming levels.

Forecast: Primarily unsettled conditions, with a few daily active periods, are expected for 28-30 Nov under positive polarity CH HSS effects.

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2022 Nov 28 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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