[Propagation+Space Weather] Weekly Propagation Summary - 2018 Oct 15 16:10 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is this week's space weather and geophysical report, issued 2018 Oct 15 0146 UTC.

Highlights of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 08 - 14 October 2018

Solar activity was very low this period. Regions 2724 (S08, L=126, class/area, Hrx/20 on 12 Oct) and 2725 (S11, L=113, class/area, Axx/10 on 14 Oct) were the only numbered sunspots on the visible disk but were quiet and stable throughout the period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the summary period.

No proton events were observed at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels on 08-13 Oct then decreased to moderate levels on 14 Oct.

Geomagnetic field activity reached G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 10 and 13 Oct, active conditions on 08-09 Oct, unsettled levels on 11 Oct, and quiet conditions on 12 and 14 Oct due to CH HSS influence.

Forecast of Solar and Geomagnetic Activity 15 October - 10 November 2018

Solar activity is expected to be very low throughout the outlook period.

No proton events are expected at geosynchronous orbit.

The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to reach high levels on 15-25 Oct and 04-09 Nov with moderate flux levels expected thoughout the remainder of the period.

Geomagnetic field activity is expected to reach G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storm levels on 19 Oct and 03-04 Nov with active levels expected on 18 Oct and 05-06 Nov due to the influence of multiple, recurrent CH HSSs.

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