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[Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActiv

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActivity Report For 28 March
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Mon, 28 Mar 2005 18:05:45 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>           PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
>
>                                 28 MARCH, 2005
>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>                         (Based in-part on SEC Data.)
>                (The final report will be released tommorrow.)
>
>
> PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 28 MARCH, 2005
> ----------------------------------------------------------
>
>      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
>          Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 80, 80, 80.
>                     Average 90-day Solar Flux:  96.
>               Current Middle Latitude A-Index:   3
>                     Current Boulder K-Indices: 2210 101*
>                   Current Planetary K-Indices: 1210 112*
>                Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast:   5,   5,   5.
>              Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast:   5,   5,   5.
>
>
> SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
> ---------------------------
>
>             Solar activity was very low again today. Region 745
>       (N12W39), the only sunspot group on the visible disk, is in slow
>       decay. A cme observed off the southeast limb at around 28/1900Z was
>       likely backsided. No other significant activity was observed on the
>       solar disk or limb.
>
>            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to 
> continue
>       at very low levels.
>
>            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The high speed coronal hole 
> wind
>       stream continues to subside. Solar wind speed ended the period at
>       just under 500 km/s. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
>       geosynchronous orbit was at high levels again today.
>
>            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
>       expected to be quiet with occasional unsettled periods over the next
>       three days.
>
>            Event probabilities 29 mar-31 mar
>
>                             Class M    01/01/01
>                             Class X    01/01/01
>                             Proton     01/01/01
>                             PCAF       Green
>
>            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 mar-31 mar
>
>                        A.  Middle Latitudes
>                        Active                15/15/15
>                        Minor storm           05/05/05
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>                        B.  High Latitudes
>                        Active                20/20/20
>                        Minor storm           05/05/05
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>
> **  End of Daily Report  **
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>
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