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[Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActiv

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: [Prelimsolar] PRELIMINARY Daily Solar GeophysicalActivity Report for 26 March
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Sat, 26 Mar 2005 18:11:36 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>           PRELIMINARY DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
>
>                                 26 MARCH, 2005
>
>         /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\
>
>                         (Based in-part on SEC Data.)
>                (The final report will be released tommorrow.)
>
>
> PRELIMINARY SOLAR & GEOPHYSICAL INDICES FOR 26 MARCH, 2005
> ----------------------------------------------------------
>
>      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
>          Predicted Solar Flux for Next 3 Days: 80, 80, 80.
>                     Average 90-day Solar Flux:  98.
>               Current Middle Latitude A-Index:  17
>                     Current Boulder K-Indices: 2444 332*
>                   Current Planetary K-Indices: 2444 322*
>                Boulder A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  10,   8,   8.
>              Planetary A-Index 3-Day Forecast:  15,  12,  10.
>
>
> SYNOPSIS OF TODAYS ACTIVITY
> ---------------------------
>
>             Solar activity was very low.
>
>            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
>       low with a slight chance for an isolated C-flare.
>
>            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Solar wind speed at 
> ace
>       has decreased slightly from approximately 680 km/s to 630 km/s.
>
>            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
>       expected to be quiet to active on 27 march.  On 28 and 29 march,
>       quiet to unsettled conditions are expected as the coronal hole high
>       speed stream moves out of geoeffective position.
>
>            Event probabilities 27 mar-29 mar
>
>                             Class M    05/05/05
>                             Class X    01/01/01
>                             Proton     01/01/01
>                             PCAF       green
>
>            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 mar-29 mar
>
>                        A.  Middle Latitudes
>                        Active                25/20/20
>                        Minor storm           10/10/10
>                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01
>
>                        B.  High Latitudes
>                        Active                35/30/25
>                        Minor storm           15/15/10
>                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01
>
>
> **  End of Daily Report  **
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73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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