I agree, it seems strange. The first bit of cycle peak for cycle 24 was
in the fall of 2011. This would place a minimum nearly 10 years after
the prior max.
73 Rich NN3W
On 12/8/2018 12:38 PM, Bob Shohet, KQ2M wrote:
It would be helpful if they indicated why their prediction for the next 4 years
is so dramatically different from that the end of previous sunspot cycles.
This prediction would indicate an especially elongated cycle approaching almost
14 years in length, which to my knowledge, has not been seen in our lifetimes.
Count me as a skeptic of their latest prediction.
73
Bob KQ2M
From: donovanf@starpower.net
Sent: Saturday, December 08, 2018 12:50 AM
To: cq-contest
Subject: [CQ-Contest] At least four more years of solar minimum?
NOAA updated its predictions for smoothed sunspot numbers and solar flux
through the end of 2022. As of last month, their predictions ended in 2019.
Their prediction shows a smoothed sunspot number of 10 for December 2018,
declining to 2 in July 2020 through January 2021, then 1 during February 2021
through January 2022, and 0 after that and through at least the end of 2022.
www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar-cycle-progression
I hate predictions, especially about the future...
73
Frank
W3LPL
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