Any valid adjustment based on previous score data to level the field would
require operators and antennas to be the same. There is a total lack of
useful data to do anything based on previous scores, because stations and
operators are not equal. Even if they were equal, the data base is too
small.
The only way to do anything meaningful to level would be propagation data,
but again that depends on stations working correctly. It is painfully
obvious that is lacking also, but it still world be far better than looking
at previous scores.
If we just want to allow underdogs a better chance to win, with no regard to
creating equal chances, then a score based adjustment would work just fine.
The old bracket race or golf handicap type of system applied to Ham radio.
73 Tom
----- Original Message -----
From: <w1md@cfl.rr.com>
To: <cq-contest@contesting.com>
Sent: Friday, July 01, 2011 10:25 AM
Subject: [CQ-Contest] ARRL DX "Leveling, Handicapping, Equalizing"
> So...the data is there...40+ years of it. Seems that it would be a fairly
> easy and straightforward process to use the results of previous years to
> come up with a "leveling, handicapping, equalizing" factor that would take
> into account the vast majority of factors...including Distance,
> Propagation, and those years where there were 'anomalies' that allowed a
> station outside of W1-3 and VE1-3 to get into the top ten.
>
> Sorry about the formatting...this is just 9 years of data (2002-2010) for
> the SOHP category.
>
> 9 out of 90 stations came from areas other than W1-3 or VE1-3 or roughly
> 10%
> IN =3
> VA = 2
> CO = 1
> STX = 1
> WCF = 1
> NM = 1
>
>
> 1 K5ZD (W4PA, op) 6,173,244 4,454 462 WMA 1 1 KT1V (NT1N, op) 6,226,974
> 4,094 507 NH 1 1 K5ZD (W4PA, op) 6,588,960 4,240 518 WMA 1
> 2 K1DG 5,629,746 4,027 466 NH 1 2 KQ2M 5,675,454 4,086 463 CT 1 2 N2NT
> 6,343,305 4,187 505 NNJ 2
> 3 AA1K 5,172,453 4,019 429 DE 3 3 VY2ZM (K1ZM, op) 5,490,114 3,902 469 MAR
> 3 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 5,060,160 3,514 480 WPA 3
> 4 W9RE 5,063,502 3,898 433 IN 9 4 K1TO 5,480,952 4,042 452 WCF 4 4 KT1V
> 4,946,856 3,782 436 NH 1
> 5 K1ZZ 5,045,175 3,957 425 CT 1 5 K5ZD (W4PA, op) 5,458,815 4,089 445 WMA
> 1 5 K3ZO 4,640,286 3,298 469 MDC 3
> 6 N2IC 4,902,660 3,891 420 CO 0 6 N2NT 4,914,630 3,766 435 NNJ 2 6 W1WEF
> 4,569,642 3,234 471 CT 1
> 7 W1WEF 4,854,462 3,686 439 CT 1 7 AA1K 4,461,795 3,419 435 DE 3 7 N2LT
> 4,361,880 3,260 446 NNJ 2
> 8 K2UA 4,789,530 3,942 405 WNY 2 8 K3ZO 4,357,794 3,347 434 MDC 3 8 WC1M
> 4,170,264 3,374 412 NH 1
> 9 K5GN 4,628,520 3,588 430 STX 5 9 K2UA 4,212,600 3,304 425 WNY 2 9 KQ2M
> 4,155,624 3,267 424 CT 1
> 10 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 4,446,192 3,376 439 WPA 3 10 VY2TT 4,043,034 3,186 423
> MAR 10 K1RM 4,120,200 3,052 450 CT 1
> 2,002 2,003 2,004
>
>
> 1 VY2ZM (K1ZM, op) 5,382,234 3,978 451 MAR 1 N9RV 4,714,356 3,596 437 IN 9
> 1 VY2PA 4,863,075 3,925 413 MAR
> 2 KQ2M 4,806,459 3,633 441 CT 1 2 N2NT 4,635,210 3,670 421 NNJ 2 2 N2NT
> 4,026,048 3,226 416 NNJ 2
> 3 N2NT 4,660,608 3,664 424 NNJ 2 3 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 4,462,128 3,443 432
> WPA 3 3 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 3,445,200 2,900 396 WPA 3
> 4 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 4,366,941 3,331 437 WPA 3 4 AA1K 4,035,045 3,241 415 DE
> 3 4 AA1K 3,315,510 2,805 394 DE 3
> 5 AA1K 4,190,670 3,366 415 DE 3 5 VE3DZ 3,209,856 2,572 416 ON 5 K1ZZ
> 3,128,625 2,781 375 CT 1
> 6 K1ZZ 3,850,344 3,027 424 CT 1 6 VY2TT (K6LA, op) 3,198,555 2,755 387 MAR
> 6 VY2TT 3,042,660 2,669 380 MAR
> 7 K5ZD 3,782,652 3,121 404 WMA 1 7 W4RX (K0DQ, op) 3,175,326 2,607 406 VA
> 4 7 VC3O (VE3AT, op) 2,793,168 2,282 408 ON
> 8 W3GRF (K0DQ, op) 3,764,988 2,946 426 VA 4 8 K3ZO 3,165,855 2,741 385 MDC
> 3 8 WC1M 2,766,510 2,605 354 NH 1
> 9 N2LT 3,687,420 3,020 407 NNJ 2 9 VC3A (VE3AT, op) 3,107,160 2,520 411 ON
> 9 VE3DZ 2,653,992 2,234 396 ON
> 10 WC1M 3,634,536 3,044 398 NH 1 10 K1ZZ 3,103,290 2,523 410 CT 1 10 N2LT
> 2,642,400 2,400 367 NNJ 2
> 2,005 2,006 2,007
>
>
> 1 K1KI 3,593,274 3,103 386 CT 1 1 VY2ZM (K0DQ, op) 4,892,940 4,006 410 MAR
> 1 VY2ZM 5,549,292 4,656 399 MAR
> 2 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 3,557,358 3,137 378 WPA 3 2 NN3W (@ N3HBX) 4,066,260
> 3,392 404 MDC 3 2 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 5,514,120 4,362 424 WPA 3
> 3 K1ZM 3,501,762 3,121 374 EMA 1 3 K3CR (LZ4AX, op) 3,868,128 3,186 407
> WPA 3 3 VY2TT 5,218,695 4,557 387 MAR
> 4 N2NT 3,381,240 2,966 380 NNJ 2 4 K5ZD (W1UE, op) 3,717,186 3,361 374 WMA
> 1 4 K1RX 4,984,317 4,474 377 NH 1
> 5 AA1K 2,985,831 2,757 361 DE 3 5 AA1K 3,637,740 3,235 380 DE 3 5 N2IC
> 4,757,745 3,796 419 NM 5
> 6 K1ZZ 2,851,785 2,495 381 CT 1 6 K1ZZ 3,634,962 3,150 386 CT 1 6 K1ZZ
> 4,702,365 3,785 415 CT 1
> 7 VC3E (VE3AT, op) 2,802,618 2,639 354 ON 7 WC1M 3,192,783 3,158 341 NH 1
> 7 K5ZD 4,586,838 3,972 386 WMA 1
> 8 WC1M 2,515,032 2,687 312 NH 1 8 VY2TT (K6LA, op) 3,092,202 3,026 346 MAR
> 8 W9RE 4,552,119 3,909 393 IN 9
> 9 N2LT 2,277,330 2,266 335 NNJ 2 9 N2LT 2,933,856 2,692 366 NNJ 2 9 WC1M
> 4,413,225 4,108 361 NH 1
> 10 K3ZO 2,209,920 2,302 320 MDC 3 10 W1WEF 2,684,079 2,720 331 CT 1 10
> VX3AT (VE3AT, op) 4,398,198 3,639 406 ON
> 2,008 2,009 2,010
>
>
> W1MD
>
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