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[VHFcontesting] 6 & 10 Contest- [ Unintended Consequences ]

To: vhfcontesting@contesting.com
Subject: [VHFcontesting] 6 & 10 Contest- [ Unintended Consequences ]
From: Les Rayburn <les@highnoonfilm.com>
Reply-to: les@highnoonfilm.com
Date: Fri, 05 Sep 2014 10:09:06 -0500
List-post: <vhfcontesting@contesting.com">mailto:vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
Duane makes some excellent points. At my office, we often evaluate new ideas and public relations strategies by conducting what are called "Red Team Exercises". Essentially, you ask half your staff to play devil's advocate, and look for the problems in the proposed strategy.

A big part of that effort usually involves looking at unintended consequences, and it's wise to consider that before voicing support or rejecting the idea.

One thing that the notes from the ARRL meeting do not reveal is motivation. We don't know if the committee was concerned about drawing more HF operators into 6 Meter operation, or increasing activity on 10 Meters. Given that the proposal also mentions a 10 Meter Grid Award, I suspect it's the later.

If the primary desire is to increase operation on 10 Meters during non-solar peak periods, then the idea(s) probably have merit. Grid based awards do not rely on F2 propagation to achieve, unlike DXCC. A FFMA type award that could be earned using mainly e-skip would likely spur more activity on 10 Meters. A 6 & 10 contest then makes sense, especially during the summer when e-skip is most likely. An unintended consequence of such an award might be more grid expeditions in rare grids that would include both 6M and 10M efforts.

While Duane attributes the declining activity above 2 Meters on rules changes, and the introduction of the CQ VHF contest, I'm not sure that conclusion can be proven. Even if those factors are significant contributors to the problem, they are not the only factors. Other causes might include:

 * VUCC burn-out. Most active operators that are interested in chasing
   awards on these bands have already done so. Grid expeditions have
   certainly decreased over the past several years (with the exception
   of those for FFMA on 6 Meters). Thank God K5N often incorporates 2
   Meters. (Thanks Dan!)
 * Economic down-turn and the rapidly rising cost of fuel have
   discouraged the construction of large "super-stations" and put a
   dent in roving.
 * The increase in deed restrictions and HOA's have made it more
   difficult for hams to build multi-band antenna systems. While you
   can "hide a wire" or small vertical to get you on HF, it's actually
   harder to generate decent VHF/UHF and microwave signals from these
   situations.


One area that I've been looking into is the creation of a Five Band VUCC Award (5BVUCC) that might encourage hams to "add bands" in pursuit of that award. I think the league also needs to do a major PR campaign to build the status of the VUCC Award overall. Adding merchandise with the VUCC logo, and increasing desire among the awards community to earn VUCC awards would help activity on our bands.

Great input, Duane.

--
--
73,

Les Rayburn, N1LF
121 Mayfair Park
Maylene, AL 35114
EM63nf

6M VUCC #1712
AMSAT #38965
Grid Bandits #222
Southeastern VHF Society
Central States VHF Society Life Member
Six Club #2484

Active on 6 Meters thru 1296, 10GHz & Light


----------------------------------------------------------------------

Message: 1
Date: Thu, 4 Sep 2014 17:10:09 -0700
From: Duane - N9DG via VHFcontesting<vhfcontesting@contesting.com>
To:vhfcontesting@contesting.com
Subject: Re: [VHFcontesting] ARRL Proposal for a combined 10 Meter & 6
        Meter   Contest
Message-ID:
        <1409875809.36270.YahooMailBasic@web126206.mail.ne1.yahoo.com>
Content-Type: text/plain; charset=us-ascii


I would tread lightly on this idea, and stop to really think through the likely 
operator participation behaviors that it would induce. It strikes me as 
something that could have the undesired side effect of actually diluting the 
participation levels in the major VHF contests on 6M and up.

Many of the various rules and category changes over the years were primarily designed to 
"lower the barriers" for participation as an effort to entice new operators to 
get on VHF contests. But in reality, they so far seem to all have had some pretty 
undesirable side effects. And in many cases I think that they have actually reduced the 
number of bands being used, and reduced power levels used by participants in VHF 
contests. Or to put it another way, each of those changes often took away incentive for 
building bigger gun stations with lots of bands, in the end that hurts everyone. Some 
examples I can think of:

1. ARRL splitting SO into SOLP and SOHP - side effect was that many stations 
that were building up stations towards higher levels of power on 6M and up 
decided not to (I'll even admit to being guilty of doing that myself).
2. ARRL creating Limited Multi-Op - side effect was multi ops who previously 
worked on including bands above 432, dropped all of them (I still think Limited 
MO should limit the number of operators, not bands).
3. I get the impression that Limit Rover category may have done a similar thing 
to the number of bands that rovers try to equip for.
4. SO3B - side effect, a disturbing number of former SOLPs have now downshifted 
to SO3B, and have no motivation or desire to add 222, or any of the higher 
bands above 432 for that matter.

Another pattern that I think has gotten more common over the last 10 years or 
so is that the major all band ARRL VHF contests are increasingly evolving into 
almost 6M only events.

My fear of having a 10 & 6M contest is that it will make many to decide to skip one 
or more of the exiting all band VHF contests and only focus on 10 and 6 contesting. I 
think CQ WW VHF being 6 & 2 only event has already had that kind of impact on the 
ARRL UHF contest. There is a saturation factor for the number of contests that people 
can take out time to participate in.

When it is all said and done, 6M is already more like HF than V/UHF as far 
people getting on and actually operating. 6M is actually a fairly ho-hum band 
for participation until there is some Es, then it becomes just like 10M.  So I 
struggle to see how mixing 10 and 6 in a contest will eventually lead to more 
participation on 2M and up. It is the 2M band and up where we truly need more 
operators.

Duane
N9DG


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