On 2023-01-08 14:37, David Olean wrote:
All the flare action normally happens on the downslope of the cycle.
Why do you say that? We had far more flares in 2022 than in 2021 and I
expect more flaring in 2023
than 2022. And it is not just the frequency of the flaring that has
increased, it is also the intensity of
the flaring; 2022 had far more M class flares in 2022 than 2021 and 2022
also had the first X class flare,
after many years of not having even one. And now we just had another X
class flare only 8 days into 2023.
There is almost always more flaring during the upside of the new cycle
than during the bottom
of the previous cycle and the flaring is almost always more intense.
Frequency and intensity of flaring typically follows this order:
1) Downside of the cycle
2) Upside of the new cycle
3) Bottoming phase of the previous cycle
Bob, KQ2M
Who knows what will happen then!!
Roger, I am still trying to fix my 160 rx antennas
73
Dave K1WHS
On 1/8/2023 2:41 PM, STEVE MCDONALD wrote:
>(in fact I don't even recall the Cycle affecting Top Band very
much, unlike the higher bands.
Roger, I somewhat agree that things do seem a little different this
time as even HF is not reflecting what these high flux numbers should
be doing. I may be wrong but this present run-up of the cycle seems to
have much more flaring (sometimes 20-30 per day) than previous cycles
have had and these can really disrupt even HF propagation on the polar
path. If we can see several days of a quiet undisturbed field things
might improve for a bit.
Steve 73
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