[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2021 Nov 12 1230 UTC

[nw7us@sunspotwatch.com]

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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2021 Nov 12 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2895 (N23E01) continued to decay to a simple Bxo/beta group. Regions 2893 (N17W82, Hsx/alpha) and 2894 (S27W16, Hsx/alpha) were both stable H-type spot groups. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available satellite imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels, with a slight chance for C-class flares on 12-14 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached moderate levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal to moderate levels on 12-14 Nov. The greater than 10 proton flux is expected to remain at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels with solar wind speed ranging from 362-451 km/s. Total field ranged from 2-7 nT while the Bz component was between +/-5 nT. Phi angle rotated from a positive sector to negative after 11/1440 UTC.

Forecast: Nominal solar wind conditions are anticipated through 14 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was quiet.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet through 14 Nov, with a chance for isolated unsettled periods.

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Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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