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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on 2020 Nov 01 1230 UTC
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Sun, 1 Nov 2020 20:07:06 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2020 Nov 01 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity was very low. Region 2778 (S22, L=085) rotated around SW limb while Region 2779 (S17W78, Bxo/beta) underwent significant decay this period. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be very low over 01-03 Nov.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels with a peak flux of 7,330 observed at 31/1500 UTC. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was steady at background levels throughout the period.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to reach high levels on 01 Nov and moderate levels on 02-03 Nov. The greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to persist at background levels.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters were at nominal levels this period. Solar wind speeds ranged from about 370-420 km/s. Total field was steady between 3-6 nT while the Bz component was sustained southward at around -5 nT through 31/1415 UTC before turning mostly northward to 4 nT thereafter. Phi began the period in a predominately northward orientation through 31/2130 UTC before turning mostly southward for the remainder of the period.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are likely to become enhanced on 01 Nov due to the anticipated arrival of a CME, and remain slightly enhanced on 02 Nov. Nominal conditions are expected to return on 03 Nov.

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.

Forecast: Active conditions are likely on 01 Nov due to the anticipated arrival of a slow-moving CME. Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected on 02 Nov and generally quiet conditions are expected to prevail on 03 Nov.

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Live Aurora mapping is at http://aurora.sunspotwatch.com/

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2020 Nov 01 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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