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[Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on

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Subject: [Propagation+Space Weather] Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion on
From: nw7us@sunspotwatch.com
Reply-to: Practical radio-wave propagation and space weather <propagation@contesting.com>
Date: Sun, 10 Apr 2016 20:07:06 +0000
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Here is the current forecast discussion on space weather and geophysical activity, issued 2016 Apr 10 1230 UTC.

Solar Activity

24 hr Summary: Solar activity remained at low levels due to numerous C-class flares from Region 2529 (N09E48, Ehi/beta). The most notable activity of the period included a long-duration C2 enhancement observed at 09/1342 UTC followed by a long-duration C1 enhancement observed at 10/0934 UTC. Region 2529 exhibited minor penumbral growth in its trailer spot area. Region 2528 (N07W86) decayed to plage. No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraph imagery.

Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be low with a slight chance for M-class (R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)) flare activity over the next three days (10-12 Apr) due to the flare potential of Region 2529.

Energetic Particle

24 hr Summary: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at normal levels and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at background levels this period.

Forecast: The greater than 2 MeV electron flux is expected to be at normal levels over the next three days (10-12 Apr) and the greater than 10 MeV proton flux is expected to remain at background levels throughout the forecast period.

Solar Wind

24 hr Summary: Solar wind parameters reflected a nominal solar wind regime. Solar wind speeds varied between 325-375 km/s, Bt varied between 1-7 nT and Bz did not vary much beyond +/- 5 nT. The phi angle was in a predominately positive solar sector orientation this period.

Forecast: Solar wind parameters are expected to be at nominal levels over the next three days (10-12 Apr).

Geospace

24 hr Summary: The geomagnetic field was at quiet to isolated unsettled levels under a nominal solar wind regime.

Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to persist at quiet levels throughout the forecast period (10-12 Apr).

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Today's Space Weather Forecast Discussion - 2016 Apr 10 20:07 UTC

Live data: SunSpotWatch.com

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