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[Propagation] Fw: SIDC Monthly Ri Report

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>
Subject: [Propagation] Fw: SIDC Monthly Ri Report
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Fri, 1 Apr 2005 09:50:51 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
> :Issued: 2005 Apr 01 0916 UTC
> :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/ri
> #--------------------------------------------------------------------#
> # MONTHLY REPORT ON THE INTERNATIONAL SUNSPOT NUMBER                 #
> # from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium)                                        #
> #--------------------------------------------------------------------#
>
> Provisional International monthly mean Sunspot Number for
> March 2005 : 24.8 (twenty-four point eight)
>
> Maximum : 43 on 11 // Minimum : 7 on 1, 30
>
> Provisional daily International Sunspot Numbers for March 2005 :
>
>      1..  7    6.. 10   11.. 43   16.. 28   21.. 30   26.. 26   31.. 15
>      2..  8    7.. 18   12.. 42   17.. 25   22.. 28   27.. 22
>      3..  9    8.. 33   13.. 42   18.. 25   23.. 32   28.. 10
>      4..  8    9.. 38   14.. 40   19.. 26   24.. 41   29..  9
>      5..  9   10.. 41   15.. 37   20.. 25   25.. 34   30..  7
>
> 44 cooperating stations on April 1, 09 UT
>
> Predictions of the monthly smoothed Sunspot Number using the last
> provisional value, calculated for September 2004 :  37.5 (+-5%)
>
>            SM    CM                 SM    CM                 SM    CM
>
> 2004 Oct    37    36     2005 Apr    27    31     2005 Oct    19    25
>     Nov    35    34          May    25    30          Nov    18    23
>     Dec    33    34          Jun    24    29          Dec    17    21
> 2005 Jan    31    33          Jul    22    28     2006 Jan    17    20
>     Feb    30    32          Aug    21    27          Feb    16    18
>     Mar    28    32          Sep    20    26          Mar    15    16
>
> SM : SIDC classical method : based on an interpolation of Waldmeier's
> standard curves; the estimated error ranges from 7% (first month) to
> 35% (last month)
> CM : Combined method : the combined method is a regression technique
> coupling a dynamo-based estimator with Waldmeier's idea of standard
> curves, due to K. Denkmayr.
> ref. : K. Denkmayr, P. Cugnon, 1997 : "About Sunspot Number Medium-Term
> Predictions", in "Solar-Terrestrial Prediction Workshop V", eds.
> G. Heckman et al., Hiraiso Solar Terrestrial Research Center, Japan, 103
>
> #--------------------------------------------------------------------#
> # Solar Influences Data analysis Center - RWC Belgium                #
> # Royal Observatory of Belgium                                       #
> # Fax : 32 (0) 2 373 0 224                                           #
> # Tel.: 32 (0) 2 373 0 491                                           #
> #                                                                    #
> # For more information, see http://sidc.oma.be.  Please do not reply #
> # directly to this message, but send comments and suggestions to     #
> # 'sidctech@oma.be'. If you are unable to use that address, use      #
> # 'rvdlinden@spd.aas.org' instead.                                   #
> #--------------------------------------------------------------------#

73 & GUD DX,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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