[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

["Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>]

:Issued: 2004 Dec 28 1247 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC 
(RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41228
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 28 Dec 2004, 1237UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 28 Dec 2004 until 30 Dec 2004)
SOLAR FLARES  : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM  : Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Warning condition
PREDICTIONS FOR 28 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 097 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 29 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 007
PREDICTIONS FOR 30 Dec 2004  10CM FLUX: 091 / AP: 007
COMMENT: Despite yesterday's forecast, there has been a small firework of
C-flares in the past night from NOAA AR 713, the biggest being a C7.2 flare 
from
NOAA active region 713 just after midnight. The ACE proton flux sensor 
reacted
to the flares in the lower energy channels. This indicates that the Earth
environment is magnetically connected to the flaring site. More flaring is
expected from NOAA active region 713 in the coming day, after this the 
active
region rotates behind the Western solar limb. In the next 24 hours a 
potential
thus exists for an M-class flare and a proton event. Geomagnetic activity is
expected to remain quiet (K<=3).

SOLAR INDICES FOR 27 Dec 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 067
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 097
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 016
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 010

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX  END  LOC    XRAY OP  10CM RADIO BURST TYPES     Catania NOAA 
NOTE
NONE

73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: 
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KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm




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