Here is one story on the incorrect prediction:
https://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2006/21dec_cycle24/
73 John AF5CC
On Thu, Nov 16, 2017 at 12:06 AM, David Gilbert <xdavid@cis-broadband.com>
wrote:
>
> I don't remember that at all. I saw a lot of different forecasts, and
> none claimed that Cycle 24 was going to be a record.
>
> Here is a link to a pdf file from 2008 that summarized fifty (50!)
> different forecasts for Cycle 24.
>
> https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007%2Fs11207-008-9252-2.pdf
>
> * Roughly 80% of those 50 forecasts predicted a maximum of 140 or less,
> compared to the maximum for Cycle 23 of 180.
>
> * The highest of any the 50 predictions for Cycle 24 was about 185 ...
> roughly even with Cycle 23 and well below Cycle 19's record figure of 250.
>
> * The average for all 50 predictions was a peak of 115, while the actual
> peak for Cycle 24 was 116.
>
> Bashing scientists seems to be great sport in some circles, but I'll take
> their word any day over that of someone that didn't even bother to fact
> check their own comment. That seems to be a common theme in general
> nowadays.
>
> Dave AB7E
>
>
>
> On 11/15/2017 4:35 PM, John Geiger wrote:
>
>> If you remember near the end of Cycle 23, scientists were predicting that
>> Cycle 24 might be the largest one on record. Shows how good their
>> predictions are.
>>
>> 73 John AF5CC
>>
>> On Wed, Nov 15, 2017 at 4:37 PM, Doug Renwick <ve5ra@sasktel.net> wrote:
>>
>> Hopefully they are not the same so named scientists that guessed the world
>>> was going to heat up due to man made pollution.
>>>
>>> Doug
>>>
>>> -----Original Message-----
>>>
>>> Our scientists, physicists and engineers may enjoy this recent article:
>>>
>>>
>>> https://arxiv.org/pdf/1711.04117.pdf
>>>
>>>
>>> It predicts that upcoming Solar Cycle 25 will be weaker than current
>>> Solar Cycle 24. It also predicts that Solar Cycle 26 in the 2030s will
>>> be about the same as Solar Cycle 25
>>>
>>>
>>> Those of us that can hang on for another 30 years are forecast to
>>> e njoy a stronger Solar Cycle 27. Solar Cycles 28 (in the 2050s)
>>> and 29 (in the 2060s) are forecast to be even stronger...
>>>
>>>
>>> 73
>>> Frank
>>> W3LPL
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