I like guts in predictions but in the end it is like reading the tea
leaves. The only professional prediction using physics & observed
information out there is Piktpati's [sp?] projection of a moderate to decent
cycle. The rest use statistics, and as a wise professor once repeated :
"figures lie & liars figure". One additional bit- the North & South solar
poles have not been in sync since cycle 19- hence the double-peak in cycle
23 & etc. Lets hope they merge in a few years for a biggie.
Pray for the best!
73 Dave N3DB
----- Original Message -----
From: "Jack Parker" <vhfplus@gmail.com>
To: "Kevin LaHaie" <klahaie@centricata.com>
Cc: <amps@contesting.com>
Sent: Thursday, September 24, 2009 9:40 PM
Subject: Re: [Amps] Sunspots gone?
> Ah, but the sunspot number was 31...that does not translate into 31
> sunspots because of the means of calculating the SSN. There's a formula
> something like adding 10 to the combined number of spots and groups.
> That's
> not exactly right but gives you the general idea.
> 73,
>
>
> On Thu, Sep 24, 2009 at 9:02 AM, Kevin LaHaie
> <klahaie@centricata.com>wrote:
>
>> Obviously somebody is spending too much time on reflectors, and not
>> enough time on the Solar Propagation Websites
>>
>> If you haven't, check out www.solarcycle24.com - everything (and then
>> some) regarding the current solar cycle.
>>
>> Yesterday there were 31 sunspots, solar flux is 76, and the FT5
>> DXpedition was S7 here on the left coast yesterday. Europe in the
>> mid-afternoon here was WIDE open.
>>
>> So, perhaps it was just waiting for fall?
>>
>> enjoy! 73 Kevin K7ZS
>>
>>
>> mikea wrote:
>> > Sunspots, now ... there are some astrophysicists saying that we won't
>> > be
>> > seeing sunspots again for a long time, if we ever do. Gonna make HF DX
>> > rather more difficult. May make life more difficult, too. See "Maunder
>> > minimum".
>> >
>> >
>> _______________________________________________
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>> http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/amps
>>
>
>
>
> --
> Jack, W6NF
> Silver Springs, NV
> DM09ji
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