To: | "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report |
From: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> |
Date: | Thu, 13 Jan 2005 11:31:00 -0500 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
:Issued: 2005 Jan 13 1252 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 50113 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 13 Jan 2005, 1244UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 13 Jan 2005 until 15 Jan 2005) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 13 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 012 PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 105 / AP: 013 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Jan 2005 10CM FLUX: 106 / AP: 012 COMMENT: Most turbulence caused by the high solar wind speed from the coronal hole which is now in the west, is over. We expect quiet conditions. The solar wind speed is still elevated and has the value of 800 km/s. Flaring activity has increased: C-flares are expected with a small chance for an M-flare. SOLAR INDICES FOR 12 Jan 2005 SUNSPOT INDEX : 083 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 102 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : /// AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 030 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE 73, Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster Plant City, FL, USA Grid Square EL87WX Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W kn4lf@arrl.net Propagation eReflector: http://lists.contesting.com/mailman/listinfo/propagation KN4LF Daily Solar Space Weather & Geomagnetic Data Archive: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf5.htm KN4LF Daily LF/MF/HF Radio Propagation Outlook: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf6.htm KN4LF HF/MF Radio Propagation Theory Notes: http://www.kn4lf.com/kn4lf8.htm KN4LF Amateur & SWL Radio History: http://www.kn4lf.com/index.htm
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