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[Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report

To: "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com>
Subject: [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report
From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>
Date: Tue, 21 Dec 2004 09:27:12 -0500
List-post: <mailto:propagation@contesting.com>
:Issued: 2004 Dec 21 1229 UTC
:Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
# DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) #
#------------------------------------------------------------------------------#
SIDC URSIGRAM 41221
SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 21 Dec 2004, 1213UT
SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 21 Dec 2004 until 23 Dec 2004)
SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)
GEOMAGNETISM : Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet
PREDICTIONS FOR 21 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 095 / AP: 012
PREDICTIONS FOR 22 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 006
PREDICTIONS FOR 23 Dec 2004 10CM FLUX: 101 / AP: 002


COMMENT: NOAA AR 0713, Catania sunspot group 90, has a beta-gamma magnetic
configuration. A C-flare is thus possible. Two long filaments are still situated
near the central meridian and may erupt. An interplanetary disturbance
corresponding probably to a stream interface arrived this morning. Due to its
stronger magnetic field and higher speed disturbed geomagnetic conditions are
possible.


END: Submit forecast

SOLAR INDICES FOR 20 Dec 2004
SUNSPOT INDEX       : 024
10CM SOLAR FLUX     : 094
AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 009
AK WINGST           : ///
ESTIMATED AP        : 005

NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY
DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE
NONE


73,
Thomas F. Giella, KN4LF
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL, USA
Grid Square EL87WX
Lat & Long 27 58 33.6397 N 82 09 52.4052 W
kn4lf@arrl.net

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