To: | "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com>,"ABDX MF e-List" <abdx@abdx.org>,"a PropNET eGroup" <PropNET-Online@yahoogroups.com>,"a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>,"a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> |
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Subject: | [Propagation] subscribe |
From: | "Teresa Es." <teresaes@cajamar.es> |
Date: | Sun, 14 Nov 2004 16:35:59 +0100 |
List-post: | <mailto:propagation@contesting.com> |
----- Original Message ----- From: "Thomas Giella KN4LF" <kn4lf@tampabay.rr.com> To: "ABDX MF e-List" <abdx@abdx.org>; "a PropNET eGroup" <PropNET-Online@yahoogroups.com>; "a Propagation Reflector" <propagation@contesting.com>; "a HCDX Prop Channel" <propagation@hard-core-dx.com> Sent: Sunday, November 14, 2004 4:01 PM Subject: [Propagation] SIDC Belgium Daily Solar & Geo Report :Issued: 2004 Nov 14 1227 UTC :Product: documentation at http://sidc.oma.be/products/meu #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# # DAILY BULLETIN ON SOLAR AND GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY from the SIDC (RWC-Belgium) # #------------------------------------------------------------------------------# SIDC URSIGRAM 41114 SIDC SOLAR BULLETIN 14 Nov 2004, 1214UT SIDC FORECAST (valid from 1230UT, 14 Nov 2004 until 16 Nov 2004) SOLAR FLARES : Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%) GEOMAGNETISM : Quiet (A<20 and K<4) SOLAR PROTONS : Quiet PREDICTIONS FOR 14 Nov 2004 10CM FLUX: 098 / AP: 008 PREDICTIONS FOR 15 Nov 2004 10CM FLUX: 099 / AP: 007 PREDICTIONS FOR 16 Nov 2004 10CM FLUX: 102 / AP: 007 COMMENT: Two active regions are growing: 64 (NOAA699) and 65 (NOAA700). The latter is now listed as beta-gamma magnetic configuration, and in fact looks like a double region, side by side. Although the activity was very low until now, we predict C flares with the possibility of an isolated M flare, if the abovementionned regions are continuing their growth. Based on EIT images, a returning active region is about to appear at the NE limb. The geomagnetic activity has been essentially quiet to unsettled. Although the solar wind speed remains elevated at 480km/s, the IMF is currently weak and oriented northwards. The geomagnetic field is thus expected to remain quiet over the coming 3-day period. SOLAR INDICES FOR 13 Nov 2004 SUNSPOT INDEX : /// 10CM SOLAR FLUX : 096 AK CHAMBON LA FORET : 014 AK WINGST : /// ESTIMATED AP : 010 NOTICEABLE EVENTS SUMMARY DAY BEGIN MAX END LOC XRAY OP 10CM RADIO BURST TYPES Catania NOAA NOTE NONE
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